Nhau - Ko iyo Federal Reserve's 25 base base point rate rate inocheka, mwedzi mipfumbamwe gare gare, ichakanganisa musika wepasi rose wesimbi?

Musi wa18 Gunyana, Federal Reserve yakazivisa kuderedzwa kwayo kwekutanga mubereko kubva 2025. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) yakasarudza kudzikisa mhindu nemakumi maviri neshanu, ichidzikisa huwandu hwainotarirwa hwehuwandu hwemari yemubatanidzwa kusvika pakati pe4% ne4.25%. Sarudzo iyi yaienderana nezvaitarisirwa pamusika. Izvi zvakaratidza nguva yekutanga iyo Fed yakadzikisa mitengo yemubereko mumwedzi mipfumbamwe kubva muna Zvita wegore rapfuura. Pakati paGunyana naZvita wegore rapfuura, Fed yakacheka mhindu nehuwandu hwe100 hwaro hwemapoinzi pamisangano mitatu, uye ndokubata mitengo yakatsiga yemisangano mishanu yakatevedzana.

Sachigaro weFederal Reserve Powell akataura pamusangano wevatori venhau kuti kuchekwa kwechiyero ichi chaive sarudzo yekudzora njodzi uye kuti kukurumidza kugadziriswa kwemhindu kwaisafanira. Izvi zvinoratidza kuti Fed haizopindire kutenderera kwemitengo yekucheka, kutonhora kwemusika manzwiro.

Vanoongorora vanoti Fed's 25 basis point rate yekucheka inogona kunzi "yekudzivirira" kucheka, zvichireva kuti inoburitsa mari yakawanda kukurudzira hupfumi, kutsigira musika wemabasa, uye kudzivirira njodzi yekumhara kwakaoma kwehupfumi hweUS.

Musika unotarisira kuti Federal Reserve ienderere mberi nekucheka mitengo yemari gore rino.

Zvichienzaniswa nechiyero chakachekwa pachacho, zviratidzo zvemitemo zvinotevera zvinounzwa nemusangano weFederal Reserve waGunyana zvakakosha zvakanyanya, uye musika uri kutarisisa kumhanyisa kweramangwana Fed chiyero chekucheka.

Vaongorori vanoti kukanganiswa kwemitengo yemitengo paUS inflation kuchakwira muchikamu chechina. Uyezve, musika wevashandi weUS unoramba usina simba, nehuwandu hwekushaikwa hunotarisirwa kuramba huchikwira kusvika pa4.5%. Kana iyo Gumiguru isiri-yepurazi payroll data ikaramba ichidonha pasi pe100,000, imwe mwero yakatemwa muna Zvita inogona kuitika. Nokudaro, Fed inotarisirwa kuderedza mhindu ne 25 basis points muna Gumiguru naZvita, zvichiunza huwandu hunosvika makumi manomwe neshanu, katatu pagore.

Nhasi, musika weChina wesimbi wemberi wakaona budiriro yakawanda pane kurasikirwa, neavhareji mitengo yemusika ichikwira mubhodhi. Izvi zvinosanganisirarebar, H-matanda, simbimakoiri, tambo dzesimbi, pombi dzesimbi uye ndiro yesimbi.

Zvichienderana nemaonero ari pamusoro, Royal Steel Group inopa vatengi zano:

1. Pakarepo uvhare mumitengo yenguva pfupi yekuraira: Tora mukana wehwindo kana mwero wekuchinja uripo usati wanyatsoratidza kuderedzwa kuri kutarisirwa kuchekwa uye kusaina zvibvumirano zvemitengo yakatarwa nevashambadziri. Kukiya mumitengo yazvino kunodzivirira kukwira kwemitengo yekutenga nekuda kwekuchinja kwemitengo gare gare.

2. Tarisa kukurumidza kwekuderedzwa kwemhindu kunotevera:The Fed's dot plot inoratidza imwe 50 basis point rate yakachekwa kusati kwapera 2025. Kana US data data ikaramba ichidzikira, izvi zvinogona kukonzeresa kuderedzwa kusingatarisirwe, zvichiwedzera kumanikidza kuRMB kuti itende. Vatengi vanorayirwa kuti vanyatso tarisisa CME Fed Watch chishandiso uye kugadzirisa zvirongwa zvekutenga zvine simba.