Nhau - Kudzikiswa kwemubereko weFederal Reserve we25 basis points, mwedzi mipfumbamwe gare gare, kuchakanganisa sei musika wesimbi wepasi rose?

Musi wa18 Gunyana, Federal Reserve yakazivisa kudzikiswa kwayo kwekutanga kwemubereko kubvira muna 2025. Dare reFederal Open Market (FOMC) rakasarudza kudzikisa mubereko nemapoinzi makumi maviri nemashanu, zvichideredza chinangwa chemubereko wemari yehurumende kusvika pakati pe4% ne4.25%. Chisarudzo ichi chaienderana nezvaitarisirwa pamusika. Izvi zvakaratidza kekutanga kuti Fed yadzikisa mubereko mumwedzi mipfumbamwe kubva muna Zvita wegore rapfuura. Pakati paGunyana naZvita wegore rapfuura, Fed yakaderedza mubereko nemapoinzi zana emubereko mumisangano mitatu, uye yakazochengetedza mubereko wakadzikama kwemisangano mishanu yakatevedzana.

Sachigaro weFederal Reserve, Powell, akataura pamusangano nevatori venhau kuti kudzikiswa kwemitengo uku kwaive chisarudzo chekutarisira njodzi uye kuti kugadziriswa nekukurumidza kwemitengo yemubereko kwaisakosha. Izvi zvinoratidza kuti Fed haizopindi muchikamu chinogara kwenguva refu chekudzikiswa kwemitengo, zvichidzikamisa mafungiro emusika.

Vaongorori vanoti kuderedzwa kwe25 basis point rate kweFed kunogona kuonekwa sekudzikiswa kwe "kudzivirira", zvichireva kuti kunoburitsa mari yakawanda yekusimudzira mabasa ehupfumi, kutsigira musika wemabasa, uye kudzivirira njodzi yekuti hupfumi hweUS husamire zvakanaka.

Musika unotarisira kuti Federal Reserve icharamba ichideredza mitengo yemubereko gore rino.

Zvichienzaniswa nekuderedzwa kwemitengo, zviratidzo zvemitemo zvinotevera zvakaburitswa nemusangano weFederal Reserve waGunyana zvinonyanya kukosha, uye musika uri kunyatsotarisa kumhanya kwekudzikiswa kwemitengo yeFed mune ramangwana.

Vaongorori vanoti kukanganiswa kwemitengo yemitengo yeUS kuchakwira zvakanyanya mukota yechina. Uyezve, musika wevashandi muUS unoramba usina kusimba, nehuwandu hwevasina mabasa hunotarisirwa kuramba huchikwira kusvika pa4.5%. Kana data remihoro yevashandi vasiri vekurima raGumiguru rikaramba richidzikira pasi pe100,000, kuderedzwa kwemitengo muna Zvita kunogona kuitika zvakanyanya. Saka, Fed inotarisirwa kuderedza mitengo yemubereko ne25 basis points muna Gumiguru naZvita, zvichiita kuti huwandu hwese husvike pa75 basis points, katatu pagore.

Nhasi uno, musika wesimbi wemangwana wekuChina wakaona purofiti yakawanda kupfuura kurasikirwa, neavhareji yemitengo yemusika wepasi rose ichikwira kumativi ese epasi. Izvi zvinosanganisirabhaa rekare, H-matanda, simbimacoil, zvidimbu zvesimbi, mapaipi esimbi uye ndiro yesimbi.

Zvichibva pamaonero ari pamusoro apa, Royal Steel Group inopa mazano kune vatengi:

1. Kurumidza kuvhara mitengo yeodha yenguva pfupi: Shandisa mukana wenguva ino kana mwero wekutsinhana kwemari usati waratidza zvizere kudzikiswa kwemitengo kunotarisirwa uye saina zvibvumirano zvemitengo yakatarwa nevatengesi. Kuvhara mitengo iripo kunodzivirira kuwedzera kwemitengo yekutenga nekuda kwekuchinja-chinja kwemitengo yekutsinhana kwemari gare gare.

2. Tarisa kumhanya kwekudzikiswa kwemubereko kunotevera:Chinyorwa cheFed chedot chinoratidza kudzikiswa kwe50 basis point rate gore ra2025 risati rapera. Kana data revashandi vemuUS rikaramba richiderera, izvi zvinogona kukonzera kudzikiswa kwemitengo kusingatarisirwi, zvichiwedzera kumanikidzwa kweRMB kuti iwedzere. Vatengi vanokurudzirwa kunyatsoongorora chishandiso cheCME Fed Watch uye kugadzirisa zvirongwa zvekutenga nenzira inochinja-chinja.